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Longevity Risk and Retirement

| March 01, 2017
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Retirement Income Planning

How long might you live into retirement? It’s an important question to consider. The answer could influence whether you have enough money for a comfortable retirement, or are scraping by instead.

This assessment of whether we will outlive our savings in retirement is called longevity risk. According to pension mortality tables, at least one member of a 65-year-old couple has a 72% chance of living to age 85 and a 45% chance of living to age 90.1 This suggests that many of us will need to plan carefully to ensure that we don't outlast our assets.

Live Long and Prosper

The first step in tackling longevity risk is to figure out how much you can realistically afford to withdraw each year from your personal savings and investments. A financial advisor with experience in financial life planning and retirement planning can help you determine what withdrawal amount your savings can sustain.

It’s a common rule of thumb to withdraw approximately 4% of your principal each year. However, your annual withdrawal amount will depend on a number of factors, including the overall amount of your retirement savings, your estimated length of retirement, annual market conditions and inflation rate, and your financial goals. For example, do you wish to spend down all of your assets, or pass along part of your wealth to family or a charity?

Protecting Your Retirement Paycheck

No matter what your goals, there are a number of strategies to make the most out of your retirement savings. The remainder of this article examines how a strategy might play out with assets held in taxable accounts.

First, you'll likely need ready access to a cash reserve to help pay for daily expenditures. A common rule of thumb is to keep at least 12 months of living expenses in an interest-bearing savings account, though your needs may vary.

Then, consider refilling your cash reserve bucket on an annual basis by selectively liquidating different longer-term investments, timing gains and losses to offset one another whenever possible.

Developing a Diverse Income Strategy

Responding to the current interest rate environment is one way to potentially squeeze more income from your savings and stretch out the money you've accumulated for retirement. For example, if rates are trending upward, you might consider keeping more money in short-term Certificates of Deposits (CDs).2 When rates appear to be declining, you may want to keep less money in CDs.

Most retirees need their investments to generate income. Bonds may help fill this need. "Laddering" of bonds can potentially create a steady income stream while helping reduce long-term interest exposure (see illustration).

A common way to help temper investment risk is to spread it out by diversifying among different types of securities. A retiree seeking income can use the same strategy by adding dividend-paying equities to his or her portfolio.

These stocks potentially offer the opportunity for supplemental income by paying part of their earnings to shareholders on a regular basis. Another potential attraction? Qualified stock dividends are currently taxed at a maximum rate of 20%, rather than ordinary federal income tax rates, which currently run as high as 39.6%.

Adding Annuities to the Mix

Another way to potentially provide regular income and address longevity risk is to purchase an immediate annuity. In exchange for giving an insurer a specific amount of money, you're guaranteed income for either a specific period of time, or life. Keep in mind, however, that guarantees are backed by the claims-paying ability of the issuing company. There are many types of annuities, so speak with a financial professional to carefully weigh your options, and be sure to examine the stability of the institution issuing the annuity, fees and other charges before buying.3

Adding an annuity could potentially increase the odds that your money will last your lifetime. One tactic is to figure out your annual expenses, and determine how much income you'll receive from Social Security and pensions (if any). Then, consider purchasing an annuity that will make up any shortfall. This provides confidence in your financial future, knowing that your regular expenses are covered. Then, you can put your other investments to work pursuing growth.

Accounting for Growth

Finally, be cautious about being overly conservative with your investments. Many people may live 30 or more years in retirement. Therefore, your portfolio may need a boost of stocks to outpace inflation over the years.

These are just a few ideas for developing an adequate income plan during retirement. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. There is no assurance that any investment strategy will be successful, and a diversified portfolio does not assure a profit or protect against loss in a declining market. Consider sitting down with a qualified financial professional to discuss these and other strategies that might be appropriate for your situation.

 

Source/Disclaimer:

1Source: Social Security Administration, Period Life Table (2007, latest available).

2Certificates of Deposit (CDs) offer a guaranteed rate of return, guaranteed principal and interest, and are generally insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC), but do not necessarily protect against the rising cost of living.

3Withdrawals from annuities prior to age 59½ are subject to a 10% additional tax and all withdrawals are taxed as ordinary income. Issuing companies may also charge surrender charges for some early withdrawals. Neither fixed nor variable annuities are insured by the FDIC, and they are not deposits of -- or endorsed or guaranteed by -- any bank. Although it is possible to have guaranteed income for life with a fixed annuity, there is no assurance that this income will keep up with inflation.  There is a surrender charge imposed generally during the first 5 to 7 years or during the rate guarantee period. Investing in variable annuities involves risk, including loss of principal.

 

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